Team Rankings — Win% Impact
Teams ranked by how much their free agent and trade activity is estimated to change their chances of winning games this season.
NFL Free Agency Impact Dashboard
Estimates how trades and free-agent signings affect team win probability — seasons 2017–2026.
Getting Started
Pick a season, refresh rankings, then drill into a team.
How Moves Are Distributed
Breakdown of how many teams had positive, neutral, or negative impact from their player movement this season.
Impact by Move Geography
Whether a player moved within the same division, to a different division, or across conferences — and how that affects the impact estimate on average.
FA Spending vs Win Change
Does spending more in free agency lead to more wins? Each dot is one team. The horizontal axis shows total free agent contract value. The vertical axis shows the change in win percentage versus the prior season.
Contract data: Spotrac. Outcomes: nflverse game results. Win change = current season win% minus prior season win%. For upcoming seasons, observed win-change metrics are withheld until games are played.
What This Season Covers
The seasons, types of moves (trades and free agency), and team geography dimensions included in this analysis.